Monday, January 25, 2016

Here's My Theory

There is all sorts of turmoil in the political world.

On the Republican side, Donald Trump declared he could shoot someone and wouldn't lose any voters.

On the Democrat side, there's a movement to legitimize Bernie Sanders as a viable candidate. Of course Bill O'Reilly has an opinion. He had a recent Talking Points memo as well as a column about Candidate Sanders - I included links at the bottom of this post. There was a point in the 2016 campaign season when Hillary Clinton was considered "a sure thing" previously. In 2008, she had that same status until Obama entered the race. Now, in 2016, she was considered "a sure thing" but some don't see it like that anymore. There have been a lot of controversy about Benghazi, the email server, and other things. What has been spinning around in my mind is that there are actually 3 Democratic candidates at this moment: Clinton, Sanders, and O'Malley. What happens if Clinton does have to exit the race (though I personally don't see that happening)? O'Reilly's theory is that Sanders doesn't have a chance as a Socialist Democrat winning the election. If you play out that theory to fruition, what happens if the DNC figures that out? Then their only "current" choice is O'Malley.

I only bring this up because I read a headline that said NYC mayor Michael Bloomfield is considering a presidential run. It's awfully late in the process to be "considering" it - the Iowa caucuses are two weeks from today (Feb 1). So that makes me think, why would anyone be considering a presidential run when there is no infrastructure in place for the candidate? Editor's Note: This paragraph is inaccurate. Bloomfield is not a Democrat - he is an Independent. Additionally, the third link at the bottom of this post describes the steps he has taken, which are more substantial than I stated.

The only answer, today, is that the potential candidate believes, as O'Reilly does, that Clinton will have to drop out, Sanders will be considered a longshot, and O'Malley doesn't have the name recognition. That's a dangerous presumption - who knew Obama's name prior to him jumping into the race?

I do know that the campaign season is running full speed ahead.

  1. http://www.billoreilly.com/newslettercolumn?pid=47010&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=BillsColumn
  2. http://www.billoreilly.com/b/Building-Up-Bernie/758623476728379937.html
  3. http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/new-yorks-bloomberg-eyes-presidential-race-again?cid=eml_mra_20160125

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